Position: Home > Articles > Multiscale Variation of Annual Freezing and Thawing Indexes in Shihezi
Arid Zone Research
2017,34
(3)
511-517
石河子地区年冻融指数的多尺度变化特征
作 者:
罗那那;巴特尔·巴克;吴燕锋
单 位:
中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所;新疆农业大学草业与环境科学学院
关键词:
冻融指数;集合经验模态分解;气温;多尺度变化;石河子;新疆
摘 要:
基于石河子地区各气象站点1961─2013年的逐日平均气温数据,计算年冻融指数,并利用集合经验模态分解(EEMD)分析其多尺度变化特征。结果表明:在过去53 a,石河子地区冻结指数和融化指数的年际变化明显,其中冻结指数总体呈减少趋势,融化指数总体呈增加趋势,气候倾向率分别为-3.84℃·a-1和8.64℃·a-1。在年际变化上,冻结指数年际波动较大,其变幅为820~1 900.7℃;融化指数年际波动较小,变幅为3 518.8~4 577.9℃。在年代尺度上,冻结指数与气温呈明显的负相位,且两者的年际变化周期相同(3 a),年代尺度周期大致相当(10 a左右);融化指数与气温呈明显的正相位,且两者存在年际变化的同周期(3 a)。变化趋势特征表明,伴随着气温的增加,冻结指数呈非线性减少趋势,而融化指数呈非线性增加趋势。
译 名:
Multiscale Variation of Annual Freezing and Thawing Indexes in Shihezi
作 者:
LUO Na-na;Bake Batur;WU Yan-feng;College of Prataculture and Environmental Sciences,Xinjiang Agricultural University;Northeast Institute of Geography and Agricultural Ecology,Chinese Academy of Sciences;
关键词:
freezing and thawing index;;ensemble empirical mode decomposition;;temperature;;multiscale variation;;Shihezi;;Xinjiang
摘 要:
Based on the average daily temperature data from 4 meteorological stations in Shihezi during the period of 1961-2013,the variation of annual freezing and thawing indexes was investigated,and the multiscale variation was analyzed using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition. The results showed that the freezing index was in a significant decrease trend with a rate of-3. 84 ℃ ·a-1in recent 53 years,but the thawing index was in a significant increase trend with a rate of 8. 64 ℃ ·a-1. The inter-annual fluctuation of the freezing index was high with an amplitude of 820. 3-1 900. 7 ℃. The fluctuation of annual thawing index was relatively low with a range of3 518. 8-4 577. 9 ℃. There was a significant negative phase between the freezing index and mean air temperature,their inter-annual periods were the same( 3 years),and their decadal periods were similar( about 10 years).However,there was a positive phase between the thawing index and the mean air temperature,and their inter-annual periods were all for 3 years. Accompany with the nonlinear increase trend of temperature,the freezing index was in a nonlinear decrease trend,and the thawing index was in a nonlinear increase trend.
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