Position: Home > Articles > Study on the Driving Factors of Trade Flow of China' s Major Staple Agricultural Products in the View of Virtual Land ——Re-examination Based on LMDI Model
Journal of Agrotechnical Economics
2019
(8)
133-144
虚拟土视阙下中国重点大宗农产品贸易流的驱动因素研究 -基于LMDI模型的再检验
作 者：
曹冲;夏咏;陈俭
单 位：
新疆农业大学经济与贸易学院;铜仁学院经济管理学院
关键词：
重点大宗农产品;虚拟土;驱动因素;LMDI模型
摘 要：
为从宏观角度探索影响中国重点大宗农产品贸易中隐含虚拟土的驱动因素,本文在对虚拟土贸易研究进展和虚拟土净进口进行测算以及分析的基础上,使用LMDI模型对大宗农产品贸易中隐含的虚拟土净进口的影响因素进行分解.研究结果显示:虚拟土净进口的变化是强度效应、质量效应、依赖效应、结构效应、经济效应、需求效应六种因素综合作用的结果.其中,质量效应(54%)、依赖效应(26%)、经济效应(16%)、结构效应(6%)、需求效应(1%)是虚拟土净进口的正向驱动因素,而强度效应(-3%)是虚拟土净进口的逆向驱动因素.因此应加大科技创新引领,加快农业结构调整,积极主动创造良好的农产品贸易环境,加强与"一带一路"沿线国家的农产品贸易合作.
译 名：
Study on the Driving Factors of Trade Flow of China' s Major Staple Agricultural Products in the View of Virtual Land ——Re-examination Based on LMDI Model
作 者：
CAO Chong;CHEN Jian;XIA Yong;
关键词：
Major staple agricultural products;;Virtual land;;Driving factors;;LMDI model;;China
摘 要：
This paper attempts to explore the driving factors that affect the implied virtual land in the trade of major staple agricultural products in China from a macro perspective. On the basis of the calculation and analysis of the research progress of virtual land trade and the net import of virtual land,this paper uses LMDI model to analyze the factors that affect the net import of virtual land implied in staple agricultural products trade. The results show that the change of net import of virtual land is a comprehensive result of six factors: strength effect,quality effect,dependence effect,structure effect,economic effect and demand effect. Among them,the quality effect( 54%),dependence effect( 26%),economic effect( 16%),structure effect( 6%) and demand effect( 1%) are the positive driving factors,while the strength effect(-3%) is the reverse driving factor. Therefore,it is suggested to increase scientific and technological innovation,speed up the adjustment of agricultural structure,actively create favorable agricultural trade environment,and strengthen trade cooperation with other countries along the Belt and Road.
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