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当前位置: 首页 > 文章 > 陕西苹果幼果期干旱风险评估及区划 农业灾害研究 2013,3 (8) 57-59
Position: Home > Articles > Comprehensive Risk Assessment and Zoning of Drought of Shaanxi Apple Fruitlet Journal of Agricultural Catastrophology 2013,3 (8) 57-59

陕西苹果幼果期干旱风险评估及区划

作  者：
郭兆夏;王景红;柏秦凤;梁轶;贺文丽
单  位：
陕西省经济作物气象服务台
关键词：
苹果;干旱风险;评估;区划;防御对策
摘  要：
通过对陕西苹果主产区气象数据、产量数据及相关经济数据的分析,构建了陕西省苹果幼果期干旱综合风险模型,从干旱强度的危险性、承灾体的易损性和当地的防灾能力三方面对陕西苹果幼果期干旱风险进行了量化评估和区划。结果表明,陕西主产苹果大县随着种植规模的扩大,生产总值的增加,产业的气象灾害风险有逐渐扩大的趋势,而采用合理的果园水分调控措施可有效地规避或降低幼果期干旱风险,实现对幼果期干旱风险的防控。
译  名：
Comprehensive Risk Assessment and Zoning of Drought of Shaanxi Apple Fruitlet
作  者：
GUO Zhao-xia;Shaanxi Provincial Meteorological Serving Station for Economical Crops;
关键词：
Apple;;Drought risk assess-ment;;Estimate;;Zoning;;Countermea-sures
摘  要：
Through the analysis of meteorological data, yield data and the relevant economic data of Shaanxi apple producing areas, the comprehensive drought risk and young fruit period apple model of Shaanxi Province was constructed. The assessment and regionalization of Shaanxi apple fruitlet quantifying drought risk were conducted from three aspects of drought hazard, vulnerability of hazard-affected body, and local disaster prevention capacity. The results showed that the Shaanxi apple production counties with expanding the planting scale, increasing the GDP. Meteorological disaster risk industry had expanded trend, and the orchard water control measures could effectively avoid the reasonable or reduced fruit period of drought risk, realize the prevention and control of fruit period of drought risk.

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