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Position: Home > Articles > Grey Forecasting of Annual Energy Produetion in Small Hydro Power Stations in Gansu Province Journal of Gansu Agricultural University 1991 (1) 104-107

甘肃省小水电年发电量的灰色预测

作  者:
田媛
关键词:
小水电;年发电量;灰色系统;预测
摘  要:
本文应用灰色系统动态建模的理论和方法,以甘肃省小水电年发电量统计资料为数据数列,建立了小水电年发电量的长期预测灰色动态模型。经误差检验,模型精度较高,可供我省制定小水电发展规划及决策时参考。
译  名:
Grey Forecasting of Annual Energy Produetion in Small Hydro Power Stations in Gansu Province
作  者:
Tian Yuan (Department of Water Conservancy, Gansu Agricultural University)
关键词:
small hydro power station; annual energy production; grey system; forecasting.
摘  要:
Based on the theory and method of grey systems and the data of annual energy production in small hydro power stations in Gansu province, a grey dynamic model GM (1,1)for forecasting the annual energy output was presented. The model was verified through error analysis and can be used in planning and decision of the development of the small hydro power stations in Gansu province.

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