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Position: Home > Articles > The Game Analysis of Rural Credit?Taking the Citrus Cultivation Loans in Longmen County of Guangdong Province as Example Issues in Agricultural Economy 2014,35 (09) 71-75+113

农村信贷关系博弈分——以广东省龙门县柑桔种植为例

作  者:
陈习定
单  位:
温州大学城市学院
关键词:
农村金融;信贷风险;博弈;柑桔种植;广东省龙门县
摘  要:
本文构建了农村信贷关系的代表性博弈模型,发现金融机构和农户长期合作存在边界条件,提高农业项目的回报率、降低农户的贷款利率以及降低农户的信贷交易成本均有利于提高双方的长期合作。广东省龙门县柑桔种植贷款案例表明提高农业项目回报率是双方长期合作的关键因素。回报率过低的项目会导致农户意愿违约和非意愿违约,进而使金融机构和农户的合作陷入"囚徒困境"。
译  名:
The Game Analysis of Rural Credit?Taking the Citrus Cultivation Loans in Longmen County of Guangdong Province as Example
作  者:
CHEN Xiding;
摘  要:
Business credit is crucial for the development of rural economy. This paper models the game of rural credit and finds the boundary conditions by which financial institutions and farmers can cooperate in the long term,such as improving the rate of return on agricultural projects,reducing farmers' lending rates and lower transaction costs. The example of citrus cultivation loans in Longmen County of Guangdong Province shows the rate of return is the key factor in rural loans. The low rate of return wil? lead to default,thereby enabling financial institutions and farmers into a uprisoners* dilemma". The aim of this paper is to put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions for the above problems, in order to ease the exiting severe problems to some extent.

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