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Position: Home > Articles > Analysis on international soybean price fluctuation and its influencing factors Acta Agriculturae Shanghai 2012,28 (4) 148-151

国际大豆价格波动及其影响因素分析

作  者:
刘洋
单  位:
上海农林职业技术学院
关键词:
大豆;国际贸易;出口价格;价格弹性
摘  要:
根据1980-2009年联合国粮农组织的统计数据,分析了国际大豆价格的波动趋势,并构建协整模型对国际大豆价格波动的影响因素进行了实证分析。结果表明:世界大豆出口量每增加1个百分点,国际大豆价格则下降2.17个百分点;世界人均实际GDP每增加1个百分点,国际大豆价格则上升4.71个百分点。
译  名:
Analysis on international soybean price fluctuation and its influencing factors
作  者:
LIU Yang (Shanghai Vocational Technical College of Agriculture & Forestry,Shanghai 201699,China)
关键词:
Soybean;;International trade;;Export price;;Price elasticity
摘  要:
The paper analyzed the trend of international soybean price fluctuation according to the FAO's statistical data between 1980-2009,and made an empirical analysis of factors influencing international soybean price fluctuation by building a cointegration model.The result showed that the international soybean price would decrease by 2.17 percentage points if the soybean export amount increased by one percentage point in the world;but the international soybean price would increase by 4.71 percentage points if the world GDP per capita increased by one percentage point.

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