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Position: Home > Articles > Study on the Change of Extreme Events of High-temperature and Heavy-Precipitation in Shanxi Province in Recent 48 Years Arid Zone Research 2012,29 (2) 289-295

山西省近48a高温和强降水极端事件变化特征

作  者:
王咏梅;张红雨;郭雪;刘慧丽;李润春
单  位:
山西省气象科学研究所;山西省运城市气象局;山西省气象局;山西省阳泉市气象局
关键词:
极端高温;极端强降水;突变;时空变化;季风;海温;大气环流;山西
摘  要:
利用山西68个台站逐日最高气温、降水等资料,采用百分位值极端事件定义方法和Mann-Kendall突变检验、小波分析等方法,研究山西1961-2008年极端高温和极端强降水事件的变化特征。结果表明:1961年以来,山西极端高温日数呈显著增加趋势,趋势为5.9 d/10 a,20世纪90年代中期以前变化趋势不明显,1997年以来增多趋势显著。与此同时,极端强降水事件趋于减少。极端高温事件在2001年发生了突变,2001年以后极端高温事件显著增多。极端高温日数有3~4 a,8~12 a及30 a的周期,极端强降水日数有准3 a,6~10 a及准16 a的周期。极端高温事件的增加与气候变暖有密切联系,Nino_3区海温、欧亚地区的纬向环流及西太平洋副热带高压(下称西太副高)对极端高温事件有很大影响,当Nino_3区海温偏高、纬向环流偏强、副高面积偏大、位置偏西时,容易导致极端高温日数偏多。极端强降水的发生则与东亚季风和Nino_3区海温有密切联系,当季风强盛、Nino_3区海温偏低时,往往引起极端强降水事件增多。
译  名:
Study on the Change of Extreme Events of High-temperature and Heavy-Precipitation in Shanxi Province in Recent 48 Years
作  者:
WANG Yong-mei1,ZHANG Hong-yu2,GUO Xue3,LIU Hui-li1,LI Run-chun4(1.Yuncheng Meterological Observatory,Yuncheng 044000,Shanxi Province,China; 2.Shanxi Meteorological Bureau,Taiyuan 030002,China; 3.Shanxi Institute of Meteorological Sciences,Taiyuan 030002,China; 4.Yangquan Meteorological Observatory,Yangquan 045000,Shanxi Province,China)
关键词:
extreme high-temperature;extreme heavy-precipitation;sharp change;spatiotemporal change;monsoon;sea temperature;atmospheric circulation;Shanxi Province
摘  要:
In this paper,the events of extreme high-temperature and extreme heavy-precipitation in Shanxi Province were analyzed using Mann-Kendall test and wavelet analysis based on the daily highest temperature and precipitation data observed by 68 meteorological stations.The results show that the increase of extreme high-temperature was significant with an increase rate of 5.9 d/10 a,it was not so high before the mid-1990s but significant since 1997.Moreover,the extreme heavy-precipitation days were decreased in recent 48 years,but the trend was not obvious.There was a sharp change of extreme high-temperature days in 2001,and the extreme high-temperatures days were increased significantly since 2001.The increase of extreme high-temperature days was closely related to climate warming,and it was strongly affected by high sea temperature in Nino_3,strong latitudinal circulation over Eurasia and large-area Western Pacific High.The increase of extreme heavy-precipitation days was closely related to the low sea temperature in Nino_3 and strong East Asian Monsoon.

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