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Position: Home > Articles > Forecasting The Citrus Yield of Zhejiang Province System Sciences and Comprehensive Studies in Agriculture 1998 (1) 45-46

浙江省柑桔总产量预测

作  者:
陈海生;袁泉;蒋友富
单  位:
浙江省台州市路桥区农技推广总站;中国农业大学
关键词:
GM模型;马尔柯夫链;预测;柑桔总产
摘  要:
将灰色系统观测模型(GM(1.1)与马尔柯夫链相结合,分析了浙江省柑桔产量的时间序列,采用加权平滑法处理原始数据,对今后几年浙江省柑桔总产量进行了观测.
译  名:
Forecasting The Citrus Yield of Zhejiang Province
作  者:
Chen Haisheng, Yuan Quan and Jiang You fu (Taizhou City Agritechnolegy Spreading Station, Zhe Jiang Province,Taizhou, 318050),
关键词:
GM(1,1)model, Markov chain,Forecasting, Citras yield
摘  要:
Combined GM(1.1)with Markov method,it is analyzed that the data of citrus yield in Zhejiang province and forecasted the future yield value the original data were made better by weight -smoothing way,and then the precision of forecasting was improved.

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