Variable Fuzzy Evaluation Model of Regional Agricultural Water Resources Resilience Based on CRITIC

LIANG Xu;LIU Dong;SUN Jian;WU Ya-chun;School of Water Conservancy & Civil Engineering,Northeast Agricultural University;Key Laboratory of High Efficient Utilization of Agricultural Water Resource of Ministry of Agriculture,Northeast Agricultural University;Collaborative Innovation Center of Grain Production Capacity Improvement in Heilongjiang Province,Northeast Agricultural University;Key Laboratory of Water-Saving Agriculture of Universities in Heilongjiang Province,Northeast Agricultural University;School of Electricity &Information,Northeast Agricultural University;

principal components and correlation analysis;;CRITIC method;;variable fuzzy set model;;resilience;;Hongxinglong administration Bureau

Regional agricultural water resource resilience evaluation always has certain difficulty because it is unpredictable,self-organize and non-linear.In this paper,based on the 12 state farms of Hongxinglong Bureau in Heilongjiang Province,the principal components and correlation analysis method is used to create the evaluation index system of agricultural water resource resilience and ascertain the weights of indexes with Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation(CRITIC).Then the agricultural water resource resilience is evaluated by combined with the variable fuzzy set model and ArcGIS is used to make classification.The result shows that the water resource resilience level in Shuangyashan Farm,853 Farm,Beixing Farm and 852 Farm are levelⅡ,in Raohe Farm,291 Farm,597Farm,Hongqiling Farm,Youyi Farm,Jiangchuan Farm,Baoshan Farm and Shuguan Farm are levelⅢ.The current achievement of this research reveals the local situation of agricultural water resource resilience and provides a new research mode of agricultural water resource resilience as well.