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Position: Home > Articles > Forecasting the Electricity Requirements in Rural Area Based on BP Neural Network Journal of Shenyang Agricultural University 2005,36 (4) 506-507

基于BP神经网络的农村用电量预测的研究

作  者:
田有文;王文涛;王思宇
单  位:
沈阳市法库县农电局;沈阳东陵区农电局;沈阳农业大学
关键词:
神经网络;预测模型;农村;用电量
摘  要:
农村用电量预测是县级供电部门的重要工作之一,其受国民生产总值和上年度用电量的影响,具有一定的随机性。利用BP神经网络建立了农村用电量预测模型。通过应用实例分析表明,预测结果和实际结果有很好的一致性。
译  名:
Forecasting the Electricity Requirements in Rural Area Based on BP Neural Network
作  者:
TIAN You-wen1,WANG Wen-tao2,WANG Si-yu3(1.Shenyang Agricultural University,Shenyang 110161 China;2.Dongling Rural Electric Power Bureau,Shenyang 110015 China; 3.Faku Rural Electric Power Bureau,Shenyang 112100,China)
关键词:
BP neural network:forecasting model;electricity requirements in rural area
摘  要:
Forecasting the requirements of electricity in rural area is an important work for county electric power supply enterprises with obviously random fluctuation,closely related to Gross National Product and the requirements of electricity last year.The model of forecasting the electricity requirements in rural area was established based on BP neural network.The experimental results showed that the forecasting value based on the model agrees with the original values by referring the maximal relative error.

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