中国农业科学院农业信息研究所 中国农学会
Agricultural Information Institute of CAAS China Association of Agricultural Science Societies
En
Ch
中国农业科学院农业信息研究所 中国农学会 主办

AI检索

订阅

返回顶部
当前位置: 首页 > 文章 > 2023年我国生猪产业发展情况及未来发展趋势 中国猪业 2024,19 (5) 90-100
Position: Home > Articles > Development of China's Swine Industry in 2023 and Future Development Trends China Swine Industry 2024,19 (5) 90-100

2023年我国生猪产业发展情况及未来发展趋势

作  者：
张海峰;王祖力;陈泽芳;朱增勇;谢水华
单  位：
中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所;中国农业科学院北京畜牧兽医研究所;广东省农业技术推广中心;湛江科技学院生猪产业研究所
关键词：
生猪;价格;市场;猪周期;生猪期货;发展趋势;监测预警;产业融合
摘  要：
本研究全面审视了 2023年我国生猪产业的发展现状,并结合多维度的经济、政策及市场因素,深入探讨了 2024年该行业的发展前景.在2023年,我国生猪产业面临了产能过剩、传统"猪周期"特征弱化、金融产品属性日渐凸显及成本持续上升等多重挑战,使得养殖企业经营难度加大.展望2024-2025年,本研究综合分析了产能调整、宏观经济状况、企业预期盈利及市场动态等多重因素.研究发现,随着产能的逐步优化,生猪市场的供需平衡在2024年得到实质性改善,为猪价上涨奠定基础.同时,经济的稳定增长、消费需求的逐步回升及养殖成本的有望降低,将共同推动生猪产业盈利能力的提升.此外,根据市场走势,生猪价格在2024年第二季度实现企稳回升.为了更好地应对行业变革与市场挑战,本研究提出了创新市场监测预警体系、加强金融与生猪产业深度融合等策略建议,旨在为相关政策制定与决策提供科学依据和有益参考.
译  名：
Development of China's Swine Industry in 2023 and Future Development Trends
关键词：
pig%price%market%hog cycle%pig futures%development trends%monitoring and early warning%industrial integration
摘  要：
This paper comprehensively examined the current status of China's pig industry in 2023 and delved into its development prospects for 2024 to 2025,considering various economic,policy,and market factors.Over the past year,the Chinese pig industry had confronted multiple challenges,including overcapacity,the weakening of traditional pig cycle characteristics,the increasing prominence of financial product attributes,and escalating costs,which had exacerbated the difficulties faced by farming enterprises.Looking ahead to 2024 to 2025,this paper conducted a comprehensive analysis of multiple factors such as capacity adjustment,macroeconomic con-ditions,corporate profit expectations,and market dynamics.The study found that with the gradual optimization of production capacity,the supply and demand balance in the pig market was substantial improvement in 2024,laying a solid foundation for the rise in pig prices.Simultaneously,stable economic growth,a gradual rebound in consumer demand,and the anticipated reduction in farming costs would collectively drive the profitability enhancement of the pig industry.Furthermore,based on an in-depth analysis of market trends,this paper anticipated that pig prices were poised to stabilize and rebound in the second quarter.To better address industry changes and market challenges,this paper proposed strategic suggestions such as innovating the market monitoring and early warning system and strengthening the deep integration of finance and the pig industry,aimed to provide scientific evidence and valuable references for relevant policy formulation and decision-making.

相似文章

PDF下载 PDF预览
导出引用
计量
文章访问数: 2
HTML全文浏览量: 0
PDF下载量: 0

所属期刊

推荐期刊

友情链接Friendly link
农业信息研究所Agricultural information institute 农业智能知识服务平台Agricultural intelligent knowledge service platform 农业学术服务平台Agricultural Knowledge Service System 中国知网CNKI 维普网VIP 万方WANFANG DATA
联系我们Contact us

电话Tell：010-82109652-808

邮箱E-mail：agrijournal@caas.cn

服务Service
关于我们About us 意见建议Opinions and suggest
版权说明Copyright
单位：中国农业科学院农业信息研究所 中国农学会 © 2017中国农业科学院农业信息研究所 ICP备案号：京ICP备09089781号-46