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2015年中国棉花市场分析及2016年展望

作  者:
李想
单  位:
农业部信息中心
关键词:
棉花市场;价格;播种面积;产量;需求;进口;棉纱
摘  要:
2015年,中国棉花市场总体平淡。棉花播种面积与产量下降,进口下滑,需求低迷,棉纱进口增加,储备棉投放成交率低。国内棉花供需格局宽松,皮棉价格持续下行,国内外棉花价差缩小。展望2016年,国内棉花种植意向继续调减,储备棉投放势在必行,国际供给面宽松,进口棉纱冲击仍将延续,中国棉花价格将进一步下行。
译  名:
China's Cotton Market in 2015 and Its Prospect for 2016
作  者:
Li Xiang;Information Center,Ministry of Agriculture;
关键词:
cotton market;;price;;sown area;;production;;demand;;import;;cotton yarn
摘  要:
The China's cotton market stayed rather fiat in 2015.Both sown area and production dropped,while import declined and demand plummeted,cotton yarn import increased,and the delivery rate of cotton reserves remained low.Under weak domestic market fundamentals,the price of cotton fell continuously and the price gap between domestic and foreign cotton narrowed consequently.Looking ahead,as the willingness of planting cotton is likely to remain weak in 2016,a de-stocking process looks inevitable.With ample international supplies,the imported cotton yarns are likely to remain competitive,resulting in downward pressure on China's cotton prices.

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