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当前位置: 首页 > 文章 > 绍兴市气候变化特征及对农业生产的影响 农业环境科学学报 2007 (S2) 403-408
Position: Home > Articles > Climate Change and Its Effects on Agriculture in Shaoxing Journal of Agro-Environment Science 2007 (S2) 403-408

绍兴市气候变化特征及对农业生产的影响

作  者：
娄伟平;陈先清;杨祥珠;周永忠
单  位：
浙江省绍兴市气象局;浙江省新昌县气象局
关键词：
气候变化;气温;降水;日照;绍兴
摘  要：
利用绍兴市各气象站的历史气象资料,分析了气候变化的特征和规律。结果表明:20世纪80年代以来,绍兴市年平均气温呈现上升趋势,变暖趋势是春、冬季比夏、秋季明显,北部平原地区增温趋势大于南部山区。年和春、夏、秋季日较差呈增大趋势,只有冬季最低气温增幅大于最高气温,日较差呈减小趋势。年降水量对历年平均降水量的偏差增大,洪涝干旱机率增大。2003年以来绍兴进入降水偏少期。日照时数变化趋势和降水相反。
译  名：
Climate Change and Its Effects on Agriculture in Shaoxing
作  者：
LOU Wei-ping1,CHEN Xian-qing2,YANG Xiang-zhu2,ZHOU Yong-zhong2 (1.Weather Bureau of Xinchang,Xinchang 312500,China;2.Weather Bureau of ShaoXin,Shaoxing 312000,China)
关键词：
climate change;temperature;precipitation;sunshine;shaoxing
摘  要：
According to data of temperature,precipitation and sunshine from Shaoxing Weather Stations,the characteristics and rules of climate change were analyzed.From 1980s,annual mean temperature rose by 0.621 ℃ per decade.Off those,they are 0.713 ℃,0.477 ℃,0.528 ℃and 0.706 ℃ for Spring,Summer,Autumn and Winter,respectively.In addition,rising speed of temperature in northern was higher than in southern.Annual mean rising maximum temperature was by 0.765 ℃ per decade,and 0.945 ℃,0.621 ℃,0.815 ℃and 0.661 ℃ for Spring,Summer,Autumn and Winter,respectively.Corresponding minimum rising temperature was by 0.546 ℃ per decade,and 0.547 ℃,0.377 ℃,0.419 ℃and 0.776 ℃ for Spring,Summer,Autumn and Winter,respectively.Clearly,DTR increased in Shaoxing,and high temperature stress increased,while low temperature stress decreased.The rainfall in 1980s and 1990s were more than the normal,in contrast,less than the normal from 2003 to 2006.The variation of values of rainfall increased.The characteristics and rules of sunshine change opposed with rainfall.It was also discussed that the effect of climate change on agriculture production in the present study.

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