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2016年中国棉花市场形势回顾及2017年展望

作  者:
李想;郭新宇
单  位:
农业部信息中心;农业部规划设计研究院
关键词:
棉花市场;价格;产量;进口;出口;棉纱;储备棉
摘  要:
2016年,国内棉花产量下滑,进口量减少,棉纱进口量缩减,纺织品服装出口继续下滑,储备棉投放成交率高。在这样的供需格局下,国内棉价先跌后涨,且涨幅明显,国际棉价震荡上行。展望2017年,国内棉花种植面积将趋于稳定,储备棉投放将左右市场走势,棉纱进口可能增加,供需大格局较为宽松,国内棉价将稳中下行。
译  名:
China's Cotton Market in 2016 and Its Prospect for 2017
作  者:
Li Xiang;Guo Xinyu;Information Center,Ministry of Agriculture;Chinese Academy of Agricultural Engineering;
关键词:
cotton market;;price;;production;;import;;export;;cotton yarn;;cotton reserve
摘  要:
In 2016, the domestic cotton production decreased, the cotton imports and cotton yarn imports dropped, the textiles and clothing exports continued decreasing, and the transaction of cotton reserves was in a high rate. Under the pattern of supply and demand, the price of cotton raised sharply after a first fall in domestic market, and the international cotton price fluctuated to a high level. Looking ahead for 2017, the domestic cotton planting area will stabilize, the supply of cotton reserves will be the major factor influencing domestic market,the cotton yarn imports may rise, and the domestic cotton price may be stable with a slight decline under the loose pattern of supply and demand in general.

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