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中国苹果出口贸易对苹果产业发展影响分析

作  者:
孙佳佳;霍学喜;柳萍
单  位:
浙江越秀外国语学院;西北农林科技大学
关键词:
苹果出口;协整检验;Grange因果检验
摘  要:
根据Johansen协整理论和Grange因果检验方法,对1990~2010年中国苹果出口对苹果产业发展的影响进行了实证分析;并分1990~1999年和2000~2010年2个阶段对中国苹果出口与苹果总产量之间进行了Grange因果性检验。结果表明:中国苹果出口量与苹果总产量之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系;2个阶段的苹果出口量与苹果总产量之间均存在着单向的Grange因果关系。
译  名:
An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between Apple Export and Apple Industry Development in China
作  者:
SUN Jia-jia1,HUO Xue-xi1,LIU Ping2(1.Western Rural Development Research Center,Northwest Agriculture and Forestry University,Yangling,Shaanxi 712100;2.Zhejiang Yuexiu University of Foreign Languages,International Business School,Shaoxing,Zhejiang 312000)
关键词:
fresh apple export;co-integration test;Granger causality test
摘  要:
The relationship between fresh apple export and apple industry development from 1990 to 2010 in China were analyzed by using Johansen's co-integration test and Granger causality test.Moreover,Granger causality test at two different periods which were 1990~1999 and 2000~2010 were also made.The results showed that there was a long-term stable equilibrium relation between fresh apple export and total apple production,and there were unidirectional Granger causalities between fresh apple export and total apple production for the two periods.

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