译 名：
The Influence Factors and Prediction Research on Wood Supply and Demand System in Liaoning
作 者：
Chen Ke Zhang Lina(College of Forestry,Shenyang Agricultural University,Shenyang 110161)
关键词：
timber supply and demand system;influencing factors;prediction of timber supply and demand
摘 要：
Use the data of 2001-2010 timber total supply and demand of liaoning province from "the empirical study of timber supply and demand situation in liaoning province ",and the data from statistical yearbook of liaoning province,to establish econometric model of timber supply and demand system,we investigate all the quantificat fac tors and the level of influence,analysis the main reason of the factors affecting timber supply and demand in liaoning province.We establish three exponential smoothing model of timber supply and demand,to carry out the prediction research on timber supply and demand during 2011-2015.Research conclusions are as follows:the timber price of liaoning province,import timber price,population growth rate,this three factors have the important influence for timber supply and demand in liaoning province,during 2011-2015 the contradiction between timber supply and de mand increased in liaoning province.
